Bayesian Inference

WHAT DOES IT MEAN TO BE INFECTED?

Defining infection is like reading tarot cards - the interpretation depends on who’s asking and what they’re looking for. You wake up with a sore throat. You take a lateral flow test, negative. The next day, still negative. A PCR comes back “positive”. Meanwhile, your flatmate tested positive on a rapid test but felt fine throughout. So who was infected? You, your friend, both, or neither?

serojump: A Bayesian tool for inferring infection timing and antibody kinetics from longitudinal serological data

A Bayesian tool for inferring infection timing and antibody kinetics from longitudinal serological data, validated with SARS-CoV-2 data from The Gambia.